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Dec 7, 2012
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in washington news, both parties hinting at renewed talks on the fiscal cliff. the acknowledgement of open lines of communication passed for encouraging news. a new survey finds more than 60% of leading investment professionals predict a shorp stock decline in the market if the government fails to come up with a deal. in this case defined as a more than 10% drop in the dow. 56% surveyed foresee a deal to avoid the cliff by year end, 44% predict failure in the ongoing negotiations. as for corporate america, through yesterday's close, there have been # 70 announcements of special dividends. these special difference deebds are valueded a more than $30.1 billion. among the latest names, mcgraw hill will pay a special dividends of $2.50 a share before year end. and drop its previously announced plan to buy back up to $200 million more of stock this year. >> everybody's paid their dividends this year, so they won't be paying them next year. >> this is a major issue. what's going to happen is -- we have two great economists onset. but that money will get annualized, so
in washington news, both parties hinting at renewed talks on the fiscal cliff. the acknowledgement of open lines of communication passed for encouraging news. a new survey finds more than 60% of leading investment professionals predict a shorp stock decline in the market if the government fails to come up with a deal. in this case defined as a more than 10% drop in the dow. 56% surveyed foresee a deal to avoid the cliff by year end, 44% predict failure in the ongoing negotiations. as for...
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Dec 6, 2012
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in our headlines, adults can now legally buy marijuana in washington state. last month voters approved a measure make recreational use of marijuana legal. and that go mrs. to effect today. state law now allows adults over the age of 21 to possess up to an ounce. that contradicts federal law and the question is whether that bring a debate. will the feds be forced to take action. washington state now though will be licensing make your mayor grower, processors and stores. but driving under the from yinf marijuana is still unlegal. no idea how they measure that. >> i think there's a way to measure thc content. >> like a breathalyzer? >> i don't know. i don't know how you do it for -- i figure if you see someone going really slow with a car full of twinkies, you say you have reasonable -- of course it's hard to get twinkies. anyway, this morning the joint economic committee will be holding a hearing on the fiscal cliff and protecting the middle class and what can we expect out of the hearing. kevin hasset will be testifying today. director of economic studies. he
in our headlines, adults can now legally buy marijuana in washington state. last month voters approved a measure make recreational use of marijuana legal. and that go mrs. to effect today. state law now allows adults over the age of 21 to possess up to an ounce. that contradicts federal law and the question is whether that bring a debate. will the feds be forced to take action. washington state now though will be licensing make your mayor grower, processors and stores. but driving under the...
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Dec 27, 2012
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he's yelling at washington. >> yeah. >> i like that. you see how it's done now. >> it's a beautiful thing. >> all right. rick, and jim iuorio, thank you. i like passion. >> joe, joe, do me a favor. make sure you watch the guest today at 11:20. we have bill prezza and this one's really going to be fascinating. >> i do watch at 11:20. i do, rick. excellent. thanks. who is this guy? >> bill prezza. great writer. he writes things that really get you thinking. >> awesome. all right. don't hold back, rick. >> i never do. >> okay, guys. >> coming up, the impact of the fiscal cliff on the big banks. financial analyst chris whalen. he's here. he's going to join guest host john kanas for a look at the financial sector in 2013. >> when you miss "squawk box" you fall behind on global business news. when you fall behind on global business news, you make bad investment decisions. when you make bad investment decisions, you lose all your money. when you lose all your money, you are tempted to hatch an illegal ponzi scheme. when you hatch an illegal po
he's yelling at washington. >> yeah. >> i like that. you see how it's done now. >> it's a beautiful thing. >> all right. rick, and jim iuorio, thank you. i like passion. >> joe, joe, do me a favor. make sure you watch the guest today at 11:20. we have bill prezza and this one's really going to be fascinating. >> i do watch at 11:20. i do, rick. excellent. thanks. who is this guy? >> bill prezza. great writer. he writes things that really get you...
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Dec 4, 2012
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you can sort of knefeel it with what's happening in washington. plus how many people are selling stocks just because they'll take their gains this year. because taxes will be higher next year. >> you're seeing people with if you have a large position in a company, this is probably the right time to take it. if it's a large percentage, 10%, 15%, 20% of your net worth, sell it now. >> and if you're planning to retire in the next three to five years, you're probably better off doing your allocation change thousand than you are saying -- >> this might be awful next year, too. isn't moynihan going to -- if we go over the cliff, it's not going to be a great year for stocks. >> it won't be a great year for hiring. >> left's already started. everybody is hiring temporary workers. they're not buying. they're leasing. you have more up front costs because you're trying to defer any long tirm purchase. but that's been happening now for two months. so you can look at the other way and say if we actually get a resolution, you might have more certainty which we'
you can sort of knefeel it with what's happening in washington. plus how many people are selling stocks just because they'll take their gains this year. because taxes will be higher next year. >> you're seeing people with if you have a large position in a company, this is probably the right time to take it. if it's a large percentage, 10%, 15%, 20% of your net worth, sell it now. >> and if you're planning to retire in the next three to five years, you're probably better off doing...
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Dec 28, 2012
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congratulations, washington. >> see you later. japan, we have to keep all eyes on japan. >> that guy abe. what's his name? >> abe. you're talking about abe? >> that is the guy. honest abe. >> by the way, we have to talk about the john carney story. >> let me read it first. >> we can do that, too. >>> coming up, why investors member willing to take on more risk in 2013. first, as we head to a break, take a look at yesterday's winners and losers. >> that was wonderful. bravo. >> i loved that. it was great. >> it wasn't bad. >> there were parts of it that could have been a lot better. >> it was pretty terrible. >> it was awful. >> boo! [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. omnipotent of opportunity. you know how to mix business... with business. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle. and go. you can even take a full-size or above. and still pay the mid-size price. i could get used to this. [ male announcer ] yes, you could business pro. yes, you could. go national. go like a pro
congratulations, washington. >> see you later. japan, we have to keep all eyes on japan. >> that guy abe. what's his name? >> abe. you're talking about abe? >> that is the guy. honest abe. >> by the way, we have to talk about the john carney story. >> let me read it first. >> we can do that, too. >>> coming up, why investors member willing to take on more risk in 2013. first, as we head to a break, take a look at yesterday's winners and losers....
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Dec 11, 2012
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. >> washington. and our special coverage of the fiscal cliff continues and our guest host cliff robbins is here. we've got to talk to him. at 8:30 a.m. eastern. bob corker, remember his comments from yesterday, also democratic senator kent conrad who is not trying to get re-elected, so he may be forthcoming today on the path to compromise. ♪ [ engine revs ] ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] the mercedes-benz winter event is back, with the perfect vehicle that's just right for you, no matter which list you're on. [ santa ] ho, ho, ho, ho! [ male announcer ] lease a 2013 c250 for $349 a month at your local mercedes-benz dealer. at your local wooohooo....hahaahahaha! oh...there you go. wooohooo....hahaahahaha! i'm gonna stand up to her! no you're not. i know. you know ronny folks who save hundreds of dollars switching to geico sure are happy. how happy are they jimmy? happier than a witch in a broom factory. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. >>> what i care about i
. >> washington. and our special coverage of the fiscal cliff continues and our guest host cliff robbins is here. we've got to talk to him. at 8:30 a.m. eastern. bob corker, remember his comments from yesterday, also democratic senator kent conrad who is not trying to get re-elected, so he may be forthcoming today on the path to compromise. ♪ [ engine revs ] ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] the mercedes-benz winter event is back, with the perfect vehicle that's just right for you, no matter...
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Dec 5, 2012
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. >> "the washington post" did a column on this where they look through some of tim geithner's numbers and it was a little concerning. >> smoke in mirrors. >> goes after the entitlements. >> but this is the deal that's going to happen. the cuts there are going to be real or the republicans won't play. >> right. >> and in return, the revenue side of the equation is going to be more consistent with what the president's looking for. i think he's serious about the rates. >> you can't even guarantee that guys like demint and that wing of the part -- you saw what he said yesterday. >> i didn't see what he said. >> he said no way. 800 billion in tax increases. we're saying it now like it's normal. 25% of gdp for government spending and you've got bloated government already, you start there. you start at government spending. you don't immediately start spending another 50 billion in stimulus. >> that's going to be the question that boehner has to deal with. the president will have to deal with the far wings of his party. boehner started doing it. did you see they removed two tea party members
. >> "the washington post" did a column on this where they look through some of tim geithner's numbers and it was a little concerning. >> smoke in mirrors. >> goes after the entitlements. >> but this is the deal that's going to happen. the cuts there are going to be real or the republicans won't play. >> right. >> and in return, the revenue side of the equation is going to be more consistent with what the president's looking for. i think he's...
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Dec 14, 2012
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but i will say that this is action in a city called washington, or sometimes in texas we call it washington-stand where people never get anything done or don't appear to be easily able to get things done. we do get things done. we make a decision and we proceed. >> i think that's one thing you can say about the fomc and this leader's chairmanship. we're going in new direction. the question is, is the efficacy of what we're doing solid or not? we'll continue to examine that. and if it's not, we're going to have to change course. it's the best i can tell you, joe. >> i understand. i understand. and you're a reasonable, calm, conciliatory, collegial, the fed is very collegial. but i would -- >> that's right. >> -- at some point wonder whether you might just snap? because you've been on in the past, with much less significant, and much less -- much smaller actions were being taken that really raised your eyebrows, and i -- that we know you really weren't behind. and maybe it's the, you know, as it keeps happening nothing surprises us anymore. it's like, you know, when we were going to do another $40
but i will say that this is action in a city called washington, or sometimes in texas we call it washington-stand where people never get anything done or don't appear to be easily able to get things done. we do get things done. we make a decision and we proceed. >> i think that's one thing you can say about the fomc and this leader's chairmanship. we're going in new direction. the question is, is the efficacy of what we're doing solid or not? we'll continue to examine that. and if it's...
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Dec 31, 2012
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and gridlock in washington. we'll tell you what happens after the first of the year. >>> let's get a check on the markets. scott joins us from the cme in chicago. the senior vice president at preon group. scott, question for you, we've been looking for a bigger reaction in the futures. we thought if we got to the last day and there was no deal the markets would have a much bigger sell-off. is this something that the market says yes, we think there will be a deal reached at least sometime over the next several days? >> yeah, i think the market does think there will be a deal ultimately reached. the market is afraid that it's not going to be a very good deal. we could have a preverse reaction where we go over the cliff but the cliff is clarity and we can work from there. if we get a band-aid deal the market will take that worse than even going over the cliff. it will be interesting to see how that shakes out. but ultimately i think the guys behind me right now, we want to find out what's going to happen with the 1
and gridlock in washington. we'll tell you what happens after the first of the year. >>> let's get a check on the markets. scott joins us from the cme in chicago. the senior vice president at preon group. scott, question for you, we've been looking for a bigger reaction in the futures. we thought if we got to the last day and there was no deal the markets would have a much bigger sell-off. is this something that the market says yes, we think there will be a deal reached at least...
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Dec 17, 2012
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washington has set up already. so we get some sort of clarity, some sort of a plan, that's what the businesses have been asking for but it's not going to change things until late 2013, if not into two 2014. >> i think you're right, they've made their plans. in the environment changes they have all this cash they can make changes and make increment at purchases. at a plant somewhere, hire a worker or two, engage in m&a if they have more confidence in the future. so i think they can turn things around. but they need more confidence and that's a big if. >> bob's going to be with us for the rest of the hour. >> okay, you've got comments, questions about anything you see on "squawk," shoot us an e-mail, you can also follow us on twitter @squawkcnbc is our handle. when we return, the tragedy in newtown parking the gun control controversy in washington. we're going to talk about it, and then later, why hovnanian is betting on boomerang buyers. the company's ceo is here as we get ready for key housing data later this week.
washington has set up already. so we get some sort of clarity, some sort of a plan, that's what the businesses have been asking for but it's not going to change things until late 2013, if not into two 2014. >> i think you're right, they've made their plans. in the environment changes they have all this cash they can make changes and make increment at purchases. at a plant somewhere, hire a worker or two, engage in m&a if they have more confidence in the future. so i think they can...
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Dec 12, 2012
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i want to talk to you specifically about something else going on in the washington. you were no fan of the president in the run up to the election and there were so many people on wall street who frankly were not fans and were outspoken about it. now, there seems to be a move afoot within washington and some level on wall street to try to mend those fences. what's going on? can you take us behind the scenes a little bit? >> i think it's pretty clear we're supposed to be one country. we have a new president, we have a four year run and i think people have to find some common ground. i think the president is reaching out pretty aggressively in the context of trying to make connections to the other side to get a budget deal done which i think he's really very committed to wanting to do. >> when you look at the election results, and you look at where we are in this conversation about the fiscal cliff and raising taxes, do you say to yourself, that he has a mandate to raise tax rates or not? >> well, geez, i think he thinks he does in a certain way. i think that the numbe
i want to talk to you specifically about something else going on in the washington. you were no fan of the president in the run up to the election and there were so many people on wall street who frankly were not fans and were outspoken about it. now, there seems to be a move afoot within washington and some level on wall street to try to mend those fences. what's going on? can you take us behind the scenes a little bit? >> i think it's pretty clear we're supposed to be one country. we...
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Dec 21, 2012
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will washington rise above the rhetoric and get a deal done? find out how traders are feeling about the fiscal cliff and beyond. here's the futures right now. they haven't gotten much worse. >>> till to come on "squawk box," a little holiday cheer from cee lo green. >> what do you want for christmas? >> for christmas? ♪ all i need is love >> musician, producer, and star of "the voice" talks up his new holiday album and gets "squawk" into the spirit of the season. ♪ make me crazy ♪ does that make me crazy she knows the potential for making or losing money can pop up anytime. that's why she trades with the leader in mobile trading. so she's always ready to take action, no matter how wily... or weird... or wonderfully the market's behaving... which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. >>> welcome back, everybody. only a few trading days left in 2012. joining us is boris schlossberg. our guest hosts barry snap and roger altman are here, as well. japan had been driving things until we went over this plan "b" not be
will washington rise above the rhetoric and get a deal done? find out how traders are feeling about the fiscal cliff and beyond. here's the futures right now. they haven't gotten much worse. >>> till to come on "squawk box," a little holiday cheer from cee lo green. >> what do you want for christmas? >> for christmas? ♪ all i need is love >> musician, producer, and star of "the voice" talks up his new holiday album and gets "squawk"...
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Dec 10, 2012
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in washington. that's right. but we got -- all the s.b. >> you know, erskine, when you look at what the odds are, the argument in the past has always been, i needed to talk about this a little earlier this morning, the idea that we will get some sort of higher rates now. the argument from the republicans has been if we agree to higher tax cuts now and agree to spending cuts later we're going to get the short end of the stick because that never happens. what do you think is the fair way they should be thinking about this, and a realistic way? >> i think if they agree to higher rates now in some form that you'll see these others fall into place really quickly. the president has signaled he's prepared to do some things on entitlement cuts now. i could envision some that he would do. you saw, as example, i don't think durbin would have been out there saying that he could live with something like means testing if he wasn't serious about it. >> mm-hmm. >> i would like to see, you know, i'd like to see something done wi
in washington. that's right. but we got -- all the s.b. >> you know, erskine, when you look at what the odds are, the argument in the past has always been, i needed to talk about this a little earlier this morning, the idea that we will get some sort of higher rates now. the argument from the republicans has been if we agree to higher tax cuts now and agree to spending cuts later we're going to get the short end of the stick because that never happens. what do you think is the fair way...
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Dec 3, 2012
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and it's the way washington used to work. people used to socialize together, whether they were democrats or republicans. they built an entire notion on the company that you can get democrats and republicans to work together to solve business and brand challenges. that's the key issue. >> they don't know each other. they don't socialize each other. there's a taint with doing it. let me give you an idea. we've got a fiscal cliff now. we have the fiscal abyss next year. we need to say, don't come home. no deal, no break. members should be in washington at least five days a week like every other american and not leave until they deal with the fiscal cliff this year or until we get a grand bargain next year. they would pull off seven times more days -- >> david faber tweeted this morning that they should be locked in a room and forced to listen to the animal orchestra until they have a deal. >> david faber's hair. >> you put them in a room. you tell them they're going to sit there until the deal is done. day three, no more food. d
and it's the way washington used to work. people used to socialize together, whether they were democrats or republicans. they built an entire notion on the company that you can get democrats and republicans to work together to solve business and brand challenges. that's the key issue. >> they don't know each other. they don't socialize each other. there's a taint with doing it. let me give you an idea. we've got a fiscal cliff now. we have the fiscal abyss next year. we need to say, don't...
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Dec 13, 2012
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i don't think anybody wants to be in washington, d.c. for christmas dealing with this and i think that if we get to christmas and there's not a deal -- and they're not saying a deal will be done over the next couple of days, then i think you'll see people start to go buy options. i think the thing to watch to see if that happens is the vision. if the vix gets above 20, then we can see what's going on. >> you can always catch scott on options actions on friday afternoon. >> if you want comments on questions about anything you see here on "squawk box," e-mail us at squawk at cnbc.com or do the twitter thing. >> now you're like the recommended users. you should just tweet you direct. >> right. but you have had, what, 700 tweets, right? >> cramer, 26,000. >> carl like 8,000. >> carl is just -- he's a tweeting machine. >> puts pictures in and -- not like -- nice pictures, usually scenic pictures. still ahead, a former hockey great who went from superstar to down and out and now he's preaching fiscal responsibility. he's going to talk to us ab
i don't think anybody wants to be in washington, d.c. for christmas dealing with this and i think that if we get to christmas and there's not a deal -- and they're not saying a deal will be done over the next couple of days, then i think you'll see people start to go buy options. i think the thing to watch to see if that happens is the vision. if the vix gets above 20, then we can see what's going on. >> you can always catch scott on options actions on friday afternoon. >> if you...
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Dec 19, 2012
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a lot of people watching what's happening in washington. negotiations continue and we are all trying to figure out what's happening at this point. house republicans have announced plan b, that's in case the talks fail. that plan b would move to pass their own tax bills and automatic budget cuts set to happen next month. actually, it would not avert the automatic budget cuts. that would still be in there. from everything we heard, the automatic sequestration budget cuts would continue. it would only avert the tax portion of that and extend low tax rates except on those with incomes a million dollars and above. president obama's latest position puts the threshold at $400,000. no one is expecting the gop bill will pass the democratic senate. harry reid saying it won't. each side continuing to say the other's fiscal cliff positions are not balanced. we have watched the markets and they have thrown through this rhetoric. the dow futures are up after yesterday gaining the day before that, too. overseas in asia, you saw gains in tokyo, that market
a lot of people watching what's happening in washington. negotiations continue and we are all trying to figure out what's happening at this point. house republicans have announced plan b, that's in case the talks fail. that plan b would move to pass their own tax bills and automatic budget cuts set to happen next month. actually, it would not avert the automatic budget cuts. that would still be in there. from everything we heard, the automatic sequestration budget cuts would continue. it would...
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Dec 26, 2012
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it's an embarrassment how washington's acting. i am begging somebody in washington, step up. be accountable. take responsibility, and solve the root cause of these issues. [ male announcer ] feeling like a shadow of your former self? c'mon, michael! get in the game! [ male announcer ] don't have the hops for hoops with your buddies? lost your appetite for romance? and your mood is on its way down. you might not just be getting older. you might have a treatable condition called low testosterone or low t. millions of men, forty-five or older, may have low t. so talk to your doctor about low t. hey, michael! [ male announcer ] and step out of the shadows. hi! how are you? [ male announcer ] learn more at isitlowt.com. [ laughs ] hey! executor of efficiency. you can spot an amateur from a mile away... while going shoeless and metal-free in seconds. and you...rent from national. because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle...and go. you can even take a full-size or above, and still pay the mid-size price. now this...will work. [ male announcer ] just like you, busine
it's an embarrassment how washington's acting. i am begging somebody in washington, step up. be accountable. take responsibility, and solve the root cause of these issues. [ male announcer ] feeling like a shadow of your former self? c'mon, michael! get in the game! [ male announcer ] don't have the hops for hoops with your buddies? lost your appetite for romance? and your mood is on its way down. you might not just be getting older. you might have a treatable condition called low testosterone...
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Dec 20, 2012
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>> yes. >>> anyway, let's get to washington news. house speaker john boehner is calling a vote on his so-called plan b. it would block tax increases on everyone january 1st except for those making more than $1 million. boehner hopes it will pressure the president to make concessions. >> he can call on the senate to pass that or he can be responsible for the largest tax increase in history. >> others are arguing that republics have painted themselves in a corner. >> take the deal. you are hurting people in order to give another advantage to folks who don't need help. and as of this morning, the fiscal cliff countdown, standing at 11 days. there it is on the board. we run it now even on the side of the screen during the day. it's one of the things, you say to yours, it is coming. >> theoretically. the end of the world countdown is one day. once we get through that -- >> we did pass that. >> we did. the journal has an interesting piece about small businesses. the president's plan would affect only 4%. but did you see how much of the inc
>> yes. >>> anyway, let's get to washington news. house speaker john boehner is calling a vote on his so-called plan b. it would block tax increases on everyone january 1st except for those making more than $1 million. boehner hopes it will pressure the president to make concessions. >> he can call on the senate to pass that or he can be responsible for the largest tax increase in history. >> others are arguing that republics have painted themselves in a corner....
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Dec 18, 2012
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>> they don't want to spend christmas in washington, do they? >> you have thursday, friday and monday, right? >> you have a lot of aides prepared to come back after christmas to try and make sure they're not too far away from d.c. it does look encouraging. you've had movements on both sides. you've had boehner indicating that he's willing to accept and rising tax rate for the wealthiest. at the same time, you've had the president scaling back the limit to which those tax rates go up the. >> and they're not arguing about idealogical points any more. >> exactly. >> and what about the debt ceiling? do you think this gets thrown to the mix or not? >> well, i think the white house knows very strongly that as far as the markets are concerned, they want to try and get some kind of clarity for the next few months. after the last couple of years, no one really trusts the government or trusts the administration to not have a series of crisis and tiptoeing to the edge. so my bet is they will try to get some sort of deal. >> who has more trouble convincing
>> they don't want to spend christmas in washington, do they? >> you have thursday, friday and monday, right? >> you have a lot of aides prepared to come back after christmas to try and make sure they're not too far away from d.c. it does look encouraging. you've had movements on both sides. you've had boehner indicating that he's willing to accept and rising tax rate for the wealthiest. at the same time, you've had the president scaling back the limit to which those tax rates...
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Dec 24, 2012
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we don't have a plan in washington. nominal gdp growth is 4% which would be something like recession in any other time over the past 50 or 60 years. so you're already recession-like types of -- >> you mean nominal levels? >> nominal is, you know, real plus inflation. >> right. >> and the fiscal cliff business is a big deal. it's a potentially big game changer. i didn't think there was a chance we would go over really until the last couple of days. now i'm thinking there could be a bungee jump where you go over for a couple days and come back. >> if you're a market timer and you believe in your bungee do you think there's going to be an opportunity? >> absolutely. because i truly believe. the good news is, is this is setting ourselves up for true entitlement and tax reform in 2013. it could be six months from now. it could be a very difficult first six months. >> you're looking for a baby deal now? >> there's probably going to have to be a baby deal, partly because of amt. you cannot retro actively fix amt. that would hi
we don't have a plan in washington. nominal gdp growth is 4% which would be something like recession in any other time over the past 50 or 60 years. so you're already recession-like types of -- >> you mean nominal levels? >> nominal is, you know, real plus inflation. >> right. >> and the fiscal cliff business is a big deal. it's a potentially big game changer. i didn't think there was a chance we would go over really until the last couple of days. now i'm thinking there...